PredictCast — wxmap.io

A weather transparency layer for people who follow Kalshi city-high markets — model forecasts, bracket ladders, live obs vs climate settlement, and tape lessons.

Latest research

I sold the Denver flash crash

Aug 7, 2026 · Diamond hands vs. take profit vs. panic sell · CLI vs METAR
Central Park 4:16 PM whale tape — CLI vs METAR

Jul 13, 2026 · Was it a whale? P&L paths · Why METAR and climate MAX diverged

Tools on wxmap

EXPERIMENTAL: Morning Shortfall climatology and the reach explorer are under active repair — logic bugs may produce impossible analogs or wrong reach rates. Not for trading decisions.

Forecast — ensemble μ/σ, Kalshi vs NWS distribution, confidence ranking, bracket ladder (markets access)
Temps Now — live METAR board, running max, mid-day CLI climate MAX (markets access)
Model ExplorerAdmin only — GFS members, per-model σ, empirical vs Normal distributions, morning profiles (admin for now; ultrapremium later)
AccuracyAdmin only — bias-corrected forecast vs settled highs across cities (admin)
Trade DeskAdmin only — Kalshi portfolio desk (admin session)
Morning Shortfall Explorer Experimental — reach landscape + live seed for all settlement cities
Temperature hub — city brackets, ensemble pricing, obs
Kalshi markets hub — tornado & temperature entry

Informational only — not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or the NWS. Brand colors match the PredictCast mobile app (dark canvas, racing green + signal orange).